Life
Time Risk of a Traffic Death
By Fault* - 2004
* In every
crash, one vehicle or person is considered at fault.
When two or
more vehicles crash one of the vehicles is determined to be at fault by
the police. Between a pedestrian and a car, either the car or
pedestrian is determined at fault. In a single vehicle crash the
car involved in considered at fault. This 'fault' designation is
attached to the data so that one can determine whether a death occurred
to a person in a vehicle at fault or not. (For convenience a pedestrian
is included in the term vehicle.) Hence, one can determine lifetime risk of being a
traffic fatality if you are never in a car where the driver was at
fault.
This
page looks at lifetime risk of a death by fault. To see lifetime
risk by sex independent of fault go here .
Findings:
- For California males, if in
a
vehicle at fault in a crash, the
cumulative
risk of a traffic death for the age 1 to 75 is much higher then being
in a vehicle not at fault: .8 per hundred when
at fault,
compared .3 per hundred when not at
fault. The risk of a traffic
death is much lower if one drives safely or rides with someone who
drives safely than not following such practices.
The data on the next chart represents
the
risk per 100,000 of dying in a crash on the roads of California for
each year of life. These crashes include pedestrian, bicycle, and
anything that occurs on the California roadways.
The risk of dying in a fatal crash is dramatically higher if one is in
a vehicle that is at fault or a pedestrian at fault compared to not
being at fault.

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+ For
males, the rate of being a fatality in a vehicle at fault is 826 per
100,000, or a little under 1 per hundred. Table
for Chart
+ Females
are much less likely to be in a crash where the vehicle is at fault.
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+ Generally
the rate of death in 'not at fault' vehicles is higher for males than
females. Table
for Chart
+ For females,
there is a dip in the rate of death in the mid - 20's to about 40
+ For males
after about 20 years of age the rate is basically flat.
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+ Generally
the rate of death in 'at fault' vehicles is much higher for males than
females. Table
for Chart
+ For both
males and females,
there is a decline after the early 20' until, approximately, age 60 and
above. |
This presentation is a method of examining
cumulative risk over a lifetime as a person ages from 1 to 75. The data
on the
cumulative findings represent the accumulated risk faced by a certain
per year of age in life. The data goes from the age of 1 to
75.
Hence, the result at age 75 is the total accumulated risk
experienced up to that time, the rate of risk stayed the same as the
year for which it is presented.

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+ This
chart adds the rates cumulatively from 1 to 75 years of age.
+ Until about
25 there is not a large difference in risk of death between males and
females. (Table
for Chart)
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+ This
chart adds the rates cumulatively from 1 to 75 years of age.
+ The risk of
being in a vehicle at fault is much higher for males than females.
+ The difference between males and females begins at
age 14. (Table
for Chart)
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