Life Time Risk of a Traffic Death
By Fault* -
2004

*   In every crash, one vehicle or person is considered at fault. 

When two or more vehicles crash one of the vehicles is determined to be at fault by the police.  Between a pedestrian and a car, either the car or pedestrian is determined at fault.  In a single vehicle crash the car involved in considered at fault.  This 'fault' designation is attached to the data so that one can determine whether a death occurred to a person in a vehicle at fault or not. (For convenience a pedestrian is included in the term vehicle.)  Hence, one can determine lifetime risk of being a traffic fatality if you are never in a car where the driver was at fault.

This page looks at lifetime risk of a death by fault.  To see lifetime risk by sex independent of fault go here .


Findings:


Lifetime Risk by Sex and Fault/No Fault
Risk Per Year of Age by Sex and Fault/No Fault
Cumulative Risk Per Year of Age by Sex and Fault/No Fault


The data on the next chart represents the risk per 100,000 of dying in a crash on the roads of California for each year of life.  These crashes include pedestrian, bicycle, and anything that occurs on the California roadways. 

The risk of dying in a fatal crash is dramatically higher if one is in a vehicle that is at fault or a pedestrian at fault compared to not being at fault.



+ For males, the rate of being a fatality in a vehicle at fault is 826 per 100,000, or a little under 1 per hundred. Table for Chart

+ Females are much less likely to be in a crash where the vehicle is at fault.


 

 


+ Generally the rate of death in 'not at fault' vehicles is higher for males than females. Table for Chart

+ For females, there is a dip in the rate of death in the mid - 20's to about 40

+ For males after about 20 years of age the rate is basically flat.
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2003 Data




+ Generally the rate of death in 'at fault' vehicles is much higher for males than females. Table for Chart

+ For both males and females, there is a decline after the early 20' until, approximately, age 60 and above.



This presentation  is a method of examining cumulative risk over a lifetime as a person ages from 1 to 75. The data on the cumulative findings represent the accumulated risk faced by a certain per year of age in life.  The data goes from the age of 1 to 75.  Hence,  the result at age 75 is the total accumulated risk experienced up to that time, the rate of risk stayed the same as the year for which it is presented.



+ This chart adds the rates cumulatively from 1 to 75 years of age.

+ Until about 25 there is not a large difference in risk of death between males and females.  (Table for Chart)
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+ This chart adds the rates cumulatively from 1 to 75 years of age.

+ The risk of being in a vehicle at fault is much higher for males than females.

+
The difference between males and females begins at age 14.   (Table for Chart)
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